Quote:
Originally Posted by Ray2000
I'll post this separate from the DR-TR thread. Sorry for the Hi-Jack Coach
Here are those Factor 'Importance' numbers by Track Size.
I don't have a large enough sample for individual tracks.
These are sorted on ROI which is more helpful than Win%
If you're after high Strike rates, bet the Crowd Fave or Morning Line Pick
Sorting on Win% does show Driver importance on the half mile track
If you want Impact values divide the Win% by 13 or the ROI by 0.71
That's the numbers for the Monkey Score (Random picks) in this data set.
I have starred the top 5 factors in each track size
My Speed is similar to Trackmaster and Morning Line varies wildly from track to track so both are excluded.
Code:
Races 3657 2 turns Mile or 7/8's
Win% ROI
17% 0.89 *Post
22% 0.86 My Speed Ave
28% 0.85 *TM Speed ave
16% 0.81 *Trainer
22% 0.81 *Earn$
34% 0.77 MoLine Pick
20% 0.75 *Class
19% 0.74 2YrWin%
17% 0.72 Class Drop
14% 0.71 Early Speed
16% 0.70 Driver
19% 0.69 Final Time
14% 0.64 4thQ Time
Races 6924 3 turn 5/8's
Win% ROI
36% 0.87 MoLine Pick
17% 0.85 *Post
23% 0.85 My speed Ave
22% 0.84 *Class
28% 0.83 *TM Speed ave
23% 0.82 *Earn$
16% 0.79 *4thQ Time
20% 0.76 Final Time
16% 0.73 Early Speed
17% 0.72 Trainer
18% 0.72 Class Drop
19% 0.71 2YrWin%
18% 0.67 Driver
Races 9196 4 turn 1/2 mile
Win% ROI
25% 0.86 My speed Ave
40% 0.82 MoLine Pick
30% 0.78 *TM Speed ave
22% 0.75 *2YrWin%
23% 0.75 *Earn$
23% 0.75 *Class
21% 0.74 *Final Time
21% 0.72 Driver
21% 0.72 Class Drop
19% 0.72 Early Speed
20% 0.72 Trainer
18% 0.72 4thQ Time
19% 0.69 Post
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Thanks for posting this Ray. I couple of questions. How is Earn$ defined?
Why do you think there is such a difference between your speed and TM speed on a half mile?
