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Old 05-23-2015, 07:23 AM   #8
Lemon Drop Husker
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Join Date: May 2014
Location: Lincoln, NE
Posts: 11,474
Espinoza's win percentage at Belmont is the least of my concerns regarding AP's chances in the Belmont.

The 12Fs, the numerous good and rested competition, and the pressure of winning the triple crown are much bigger factors in my opinion along with AP's breeding and the 4 races in 8 weeks.

He is attempting something no other horse in the field is trying to attempt. And he will be 3/5 or so in that attempt. But, an underlaid horse trying to complete the triple crown in the Belmont is nothing new. It happens every time In this circumstance as the bandwagon gets heavy.

He is the best horse in the race, but there are obvious other choices worth wagering due to price that have nothing to do with AP's Jockey's record at Belmont.
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