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Originally Posted by porchy44
I will bring it up again. Last year I said it is hard to take a low price on a horse with a jockey that has a low winning percentage at a track.
Is anyone else factoring this in ?
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Yes factoring in the risk of a bad trip. No not really worried about Espinoza's stats.
Espinoza (and the general risk of a bad trip) is the biggest threat IMO.
You have to wait 30 more seconds than usual. That's an eternity in horse racing.
Can't get sucked into a duel early, can't get sucked into hanging out with stretch-runners who are faster either.
He's got to let American Pharaoh run his race, and he's likely got to ask American Pharaoh at some point for a run that will both pull away from the pack and is going to test AP's limits.
Hard to win the Belmont and then wrap up, like Espinoza likes to do (unless you get out on a dream trip and open up). May have to test the horse like in the Derby, only without Firing Line to target, and after those 30 seconds.
