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[ReplayRandall]

Originally Posted by Valuist

I will be in Reno in mid March. Teams I'm targeting:

Tigers Under 85.5. This is a team of aging stars kept together to give Mike Ilitsch one last shot at a World Series. Ilitch died the other day, so look for many of the key pieces to get sold off & a rebuilding job.

Texas Under 86.5. This team had great chemistry and an insane record in one run games last year. I've found that teams with one run records outside the norm don't regress/progress to the mean that year. Usually its the next year. I'm also more bullish on Houston, Seattle and I think the LAA can improve off last year's massive injury riddled season.

Marlins Under 77.5. Reportedly a sale in the works. That could mean a selloff. Their #1 starter the past few years, Jose Fernandez, died last September. They are considerably behind the top 2 teams in the division, and we could see a rebound from Harper, and less injuries to Mets staff.

I know you (like myself) are Cubs fans. I pegged their number right at 95 1/2. The team has been very fortunate with lack of missed starts/injuries to starting pitchers the past 2 years. Dexter Fowler going to StL hurts. Yes, Schwarber is back, but his best value is in the games vs AL teams, when he can't hurt you defensively. Wade Davis could be great, but there are questions on the soundness of his arm. The Cubs also draw the AL East as an interleague play partners, and that won't help. They still win the NL Central in ridden out fashion and are a solid threat to repeat, albeit with less regular season wins.

I hope I don't "mush" us, but I've got the same exact picks..