Quote:
Originally Posted by ReplayRandall
I researched an "angle", for lack of a better term, that had about 30 plays a week for over 5 years. This angle always came in at about .91 ROi, give or take a percentage or two. I began treating this as a "stock", meaning if it was running at 70% or below, a third of the way thru the meet, I would then play this angle HEAVY, knowing it would have to perform above 120% for most of the remainder of the meet to settle into it's customary range of .91
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Randall...with all due respect- you just described the "GAMBLER'S FALLACY".
Nothing in wagering HAS to perform in any way based on past results.
But you know that