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Old 08-10-2018, 05:27 PM   #31
bobphilo
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Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Palm Beach, Florida
Posts: 2,465
Quote:
Originally Posted by castaway01 View Post
Not changing leads is definitely an excuse but not sure how you use it as a handicapping factor when you can't predict if it's going to happen---unless you just avoid betting horses that continually have trouble changing leads.
I didn't mean that not changing leads is an excuse as the horse is the best judge as to if and when to do so. The only time it could be an excuse might be for a previous race if the jockey thought he knew more than the horse about how it felt on each lead and tried to force a lead change when the horse didn't want to. This could interfere with the horses' action and possibly be an excuse for poorer stretch performance in that race.
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