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Old 04-21-2018, 04:05 PM   #5
headhawg
crusty old guy
 
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Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Snarkytown USA
Posts: 3,919
1 and 1a. -- trainer stats and sire stats with FTS. I know you can lie with statistics, but used correctly they will put you on live FTS.

2. Morning line. I'm not sure if 8-1 is the magic number as has been suggested, but I think that it is important. Look for an ML in the lowest three or four (depending on field size). I would add that the tote board can help here as well.

3. A competent jockey at the very least. What trainer would want a slug riding a good maiden?

4. (optional) Yeah, if you know the workout pattern of the trainer it's certainly helpful, but the trainer win% is good enough for me.

I don't have recent stats, but FTS are up against it. I would pass on playing one unless the top three above are a go. And when in doubt, just pass the race entirely.
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