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Old 02-16-2010, 06:10 PM   #4
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Join Date: Aug 2008
Posts: 94
A quick check of M1 site from 11/21/2008 thru 8/22/2009 showed 1827 winners.
My data showed 1810 winners I do not have non betting races.
I showed 16,931 total entries

There were 502 scratches. 346 pacers and 156 trotters
So 16,429 horses went to the gate .

I showed 851 individual horses having an x or x's in their chart line.
851/16429= 5.17% entrants who broke trot and pace.

Of the 851 breakers 522 of them were trotters. 329 were pacers

4760 trot entrants minus 156 trotters scratched
4604 trotters went to the gate.
522/4604= 11.3% trotter break frequency.

12,171 pacers entered minus 346 scratches 11,825 pacers to the gate.
329/11,825= 2.78% pacer break frequency

Breaks (x) at each point of race.
PP x's 436
Q1 x's were 308
Q2 x's were230
Q3 x's were 292
T.S. x's were 334
Fin x's were 147

Obviously that total is more then 851 . Due to horses breaking at more then one call in a race.

If you include interference,broken eq, Dq's the number would go higher.
Also this is for M1 a 1 mile track Yonkers is a 1/2 with tighter turns so these numbers may be lower then a half miler with the tight turns.
So I would think you have to break your bets down by trot and pace to see how you are fairing to the numbers.

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