I'll post my thoughts now, before catching up on the thread and the public handicappers.
Looks like a chalky one. My preferred tiers:
,
,
,
Toss
,
,
The
is the closest thing to a clever idea. Lightly raced and proven to pass horses. The
is just my longshot suckup play, but it does look to fit the pace scenario. Maybe it makes my exactas accordingly, keyed to chalk on top.
I liked a bit of
Simplification in the Derby, and I really liked his performance. Just doesn't have the raw figs the top two do. But I may promote him if his odds don't go way down.
Early Voting is lightly raced—in a bad way given the price—but can win this off his last race.
is the deserving favorite and by all rights should win this.
Trying not to be biased for or against the filly
. She has more wins than any in the field, one more than the favorite. She won the Kentucky Oaks, which looks to be about as classy as this one. I may elevate her, too, at a decent price.
Could not see a catalyst for sufficient improvement for
to contend, but could be a near-random super or maybe tri filler. I tossed
in the Derby hard, and will do so again, I don't get this guy (now on his way to the winners circle). The
gives no indication it belongs here. I hope they all take money in the chase for the next Rich Strike.
