Quote:
Originally Posted by Spalding No!
Perhaps her Arkansas Derby effort is enough proof that she can't win the Preakness, but that doesn't mean that she will be a non-factor in the race.
The filly has a powerful turn of foot, she's able to uncork it on the turn, and she's willing to make the move from either the outside or the inside. That was the point of my fanciful prediction. Some said that Epicenter may have moved a bit too soon in the Kentucky Derby and if a tall, imposing, and over-hyped filly makes an eye-catching move before the quarter pole, Rosario might be goaded into going "all in" earlier than he wants, leaving him vulnerable late (just like he was at Churchill).
Even if Secret Oath is no threat, I don't think Epicenter is going to be able to simply stalk Early Voting and dispatch with him as he pleases. He's really the only other colt with good early speed; he can't allow Early Voting to have a clear and uncontested lead.
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Epicenter sat right off of Zozos and Pioneer of Medina in the Louisiana Derby and went by them when asked, same stalking trip this time. Same result! Sure he can let Early Voting have a clear and uncontested lead. He had that in the Wood and got run down by Mo Donegal, who isn't as good as Epicenter.
Secret Oath will make a big run on the turn and go by the "bad" horses but when it comes time to run past the three left to beat she will flatten out once again. She may very well run fourth, the rest of the field is terrible or not very good.
