Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002
574 race recap
a flat bet on all favorites returned $.089. winning 40% of the time
using my bet sizes for 171 bets on my selected favorites returned $1.05, these plays returned a flat bet of $1.00 on the dollar, winning 51% of the time. no outliers |
Sorry if it seems like I'm picking on your sentence structure, but are you saying this:
Flat-betting all post-time favorites (as determined after the race, I suspect) had a 40% win rate returning 8.9 cents? On a (nominal) dollar bet size?
Your method, betting fewer races, had a 51% hot rate with a 5% profit?
