[quote=Denny;2313785]
Quote:
Originally Posted by dilanesp
Sample sizes are too small. Most likely the string of favorites is random variance.
Do you realize what the mathematical odds are of 6 favorites in a row?
In a twenty horse field?
Even if we take the old standard of favorites winning 1 in 3 (which is extremely generous for that size field) - the odds would be something like -
1/(3x3x3x3x3x3) {1 divided by 3 to the 6th)
1 / 729 = 0.00137
0.137 %
That's some "random variance" you have there!
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That's not that unrealistic of an occurrence. If airplanes crashed at that rate, no one would fly.
