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Old 06-18-2018, 07:56 PM   #67
classhandicapper
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Location: Queens, NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dilanesp View Post
Here's a monkey wrench that I remember from when I made my own figures. Due to the limited use of the turf course, the bottom of the barrel was often a much higher claiming price than on the dirt. For instance, SoCal, back then, had $10k dirt claimers, but the lowest turf claimer was $40k. As a result, a lot of those turf claimers were filled with horses who weren't worth $40k. And I had to end up making adjustments to par times to reflect that.

So if your goal is to make a dirt race equivalent to a turf race at the same class level, that may be impossible / inaccurate.

There's a lot of this that is just art and not science.
In NY they run 25K maiden statebreds on dirt. The lowest level on turf is 40k.

It gets very tricky. One way to figure out what's going on is to track the performances of horses and see how they are actually running compared to what the figures and class designations suggest.
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