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Old 05-11-2018, 11:03 AM   #18
TheOracle
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Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle View Post
From what I’ve seen if there is a spike from a 3 win day it usually goes to +1 so maybe 4 wins today from this group of Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1

However, even that’s a stretch as there are 5 Turf races today at Belmont

Code:
RowNum:    Date:    Race:    PgmNum:    Horse:    RaceCond:    Distance:    Trainer:    Odds:    Surface
1    05-06-2018    1st race    2    Lipstickonmycollar (KY)    Claiming    Six Furlongs    C J Englehart    2/1#    Dirt
2    05-06-2018    2nd race    6    English Dancer (KY)    Claiming    One And One Sixteenth Miles    W I Mott    5/2#    Turf
3    05-06-2018    3rd race    5    Anazara (KY)    Maiden Special Weight    Six Furlongs    W I Mott    8/5#    Dirt
4    05-06-2018    3rd race    6    Saturdays Vapor (KY)    Maiden Special Weight    Six Furlongs    D A Cannizzo    2/1#    Dirt
5    05-06-2018    4th race    2    Bad Student (KY)    Claiming    One Mile    R Diodoro    5/2#    Dirt
6    05-06-2018    4th race    5    Abounding Legacy (FL)    Claiming    One Mile    R E Nicks    2/1#    Dirt
7    05-06-2018    5th race    1    Course Correction (KY)    Maiden Special Weight    One And One Fourth Miles    C C Brown    5/2#    Turf
8    05-06-2018    6th race    1    Breaking the Rules (KY)    Allowance    Six Furlongs    C R McGaughey III    8/5#    Dirt
9    05-06-2018    6th race    3    Pop the Hood (NY)    Allowance    Six Furlongs    R A Ubillo    2/1#    Dirt
10    05-06-2018    7th race    7    Shalako (KY)    Claiming    One And One Sixteenth Miles    M Nevin    5/2#    Turf
11    05-06-2018    8th race    1    Faypien (FL)    Stakes    One Mile    B Baffert    5/2#    Dirt
12    05-06-2018    8th race    6    Unchained Melody (KY)    Stakes    One Mile    B A Lynch    9/5#    Dirt
13    05-06-2018    9th race    1    Preservationist (KY) (MTO)    Allowance Optional Claiming    One And One Sixteenth Miles    J A Jerkens    6/5#    Turf
14    05-06-2018    10th race    15    Andretta (NY)    Maiden Claiming    Six Furlongs    H J Bond    8/5#    Turf
Let’s see what happens!!!

I was expecting a spike last Sunday of 4 wins but there were only 3 wins from this group so once again, we got a flat slope __



Sunday's MLF's only had 3 wins from their group




Other MLF's once again beat 5ers (Morning Lines ending with 5) by a 2 to 1 margin

The Belmont Morning Line Favorites Index (MLFI) was 0 and stayed the same as Saturday
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