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Old 09-06-2016, 07:35 PM   #10
EMD4ME
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Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 9,854
Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper
It was very a good post.

Here's the flip side of what Jeff P was alluding to.

If all the smartest riders are avoiding the rail, it can create a bit of problem for bias analysis on some days. To know whether the rail was actually bad or not, you need a decent enough sample size of in form horses to have actually raced on it, preferably some consistent horses while doing some serious running.

If only a handful of horses raced on the rail, it's hard to make that determination. My notes are peppered with days where I noted that riders were avoiding the rail, but I didn't have enough evidence to make a call.
I agree. Many times you can't make the call as not enough were on the rail. Great point Class.
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