Quote:
Originally Posted by Appy
In terms of pedigree usage during race handicapping (M) a huge majority use sire-line only. I see little edge in doing the same. Besides that, from a practical view, it is the mare who raises the offspring through it's most formative period, greatly influencing behavior tendencies. So on that basis I always consider the dam just as, or more, important in determining a rank for today's racer, particularly in FTS/MD/MSW events. MD/MSW races have given me some of my highest paying winners ever.
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I agree and all of my analysis has been female line driven. I have almost excluded the sire line which is why I'm expanding this area some. For the most part, I think traditional pedigree analysis is fools gold.
However, I do like to understand overall class in the female line and distances and surfaces the best runners in the family ran at. This helps me understand trainer intent. For example, there was a horse entered in the last race at Churchill Downs on Sunday 6/28 (EAST OF EDEN). The race was for a mile on turf (she was scratched and it was moved to dirt due to rain). She ran only sprints in four starts oversees (first US start). She had Urban Sea in the 2nd generation and Urban Sea is the dam of two Arc de Triomphe winners. I'd say the strechout is the desired goal when she returns.
