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He thinks the edge is in betting favorites. I feel there's way more on an edge with longshots. He's a numbers guy, so am I, but I put way more emphasis on performance type figures than stats. His preference for favorites comes from the simple fact that favorites have a higher ROI than longshots. But, I think that's a moot point because the stats on based on betting every horse in each odds range. Naturally, if you bet on every horse that goes off at 15-1, you'll lose more than if you bet every horse that goes off at even money. But you're not going to do that, you're only going to bet the 15-1 shots that actually have a pretty good chance of winning and should be lower odds.
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