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PowerupPaynter: You were correct about Giacomo but regarding Big Brown you were incorrect. Big Brown has both War Admiral and Blue Larkspur in the X passing position. WA by way of Lear Fan and Blue Larkspur by way of Damascus.
Regarding the use of the above 4 as a handicapping factor for the Ky Derby----In my opinion the above stallions in the X passing position by themeselves have little or no impact because the majority of horses in the Derby trace to one or more of them in the X. Around 85% of the Ky Derby entrants have an X by way of at least one of the above 4 stallions and 85% of the winners also carry an X from at least one of the above 4 stallions. The impact value is 1.00 which means the stat carries no clout at all(85% starters divided by 85% winners). These types are not winning more than their expected share of Derbies.
Similarly, my Buckpasser factor is NO good if used by itself. Many horses with Buckpasser in the X can't win a race no less a stake race. Adding the FAST FINAL FURLONG in a 9 furlong major prep improves this factor tremendously in all three legs of the Triple Crown..
Here is a very interesting point concerning the above: Did you know that one of the greatest broodmare sires of all time, Buckpasser, got approximately 10% stakes winners from his daughters foals. That means that 90% of all horses that were produced by Buckpasser's daughters never won a stake race.
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