Quote:
Originally Posted by Spalding No!
Didn't Midnight Bisou follow that slow figure up by getting beat by Vexatious before breaking a leg?
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She lost, but she ran one of the better Beyer figures of her career. So imo if you want to say "I believe in figures 100%" you can't claim victory for her losing effort in fast time.
I wouldn't argue she wasn't as good overall at that time as her very best, but if you took that one slow figure literally IMO that was probably a misinterpretation of what she was still capable of.
IMHO, the "betting value' decisions are different than understanding how complex some of these pace/final time relationships are to figure out. I've been studying it for decades and still don't have firm answers. But I know and admit that.