Respect your opinions, but I would have wanted about 400-1 on Money Moves for an overlay.
He's a handsome, solid, one-paced type, who should be a decent racehorse.
I have love for Lapenta - I still own the alligator shoes and belt from "Dialed In's" Florida Derby.
Always fun when you have a bit of a 'wildcard', but we've really seen him enough to see that he doesn't have gears or anything flashy.
The wildcard factor, the striking name "Money Moves", the nice performance at Saratoga vs. a well-liked, well-bet
older horse for a hot trainer (Bond?), ... all played a factor IMHO.
The efficient market hypothesis has it's weak spots, and those are often when irrational behavior enters the market.
Money Moves was an irrational behavior horse.
Sacred Life was a 'steam' horse where everyone went overboard.
- but like I said, this is my opinion. You could be right and he could have had a real case as a mid-level price. TBH I haven't had time to even go back and study this year's Derby, and various trips. Maybe he ran well.
I do regret missing the Mr. Big News. - Thought he was a non-contender, and spent about two seconds digging into his replays and results.
In hindsight, there are some things that I can go back and make cases for being compromised etc.., especially when I included horses like Major Fed and Attachment Rate, Third in a couple small tickets.