Quote:
Originally Posted by Parkview_Pirate
The Twinspires analysts were repeatedly expressing their amazement at the odds of Money Moves, but personally I understood some of the logic of liking that horse. Lightly raced with three starts, speed figures knocking on Triple Digits, Pletcher, and a running style that suggested a stretch out would be favorable. I had him for fourth on my super ticket. I just hope the horse can bounce back from the Derby effort, and find his true class level. He got bumped around and was parked wide before fading to 13th.
I don't know if class is a factor that's overrated - it's qualitative and difficult to define, and of course dynamic. If accurately rated, it can help determine if the horse is well spotted, but like any other handicapping factor it's no guarantee of success.
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I'm all in on this sentiment. I look at class as almost all encompassing. Still, class alone cannot point us in the right direction, particularly if we are rating 3 YO's. But, I could show example after example where class does/did matter. One of my favorite things is to find classier horses showing hidden improvement. Within each class level, those signs of improvement will differ. But, in the end, it's still all about finding value.