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Thxs SIX for your input...
I like that value line...its quick and simple......but...i need to further evaluate it..I've seen a number of 4th places horses win at nice odds...
Lets look at CJ's chart....and use the random line of 8-1 as this is a 9 horse field..
Contenders with ML & value odds & actual odds...using 8-1
4) 2.5......4.04......2.8
6) 12.......6.56......3.8
7) 2.........2.39......2.4
According to MP and his value play ....none of these horses are plays
My thinking is the value plays are the 4 & 6 because they are under the value odds and joe public is betting it that way too.....
So explain which way should be better?
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