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Old 08-18-2018, 08:30 PM   #7
Robert Fischer
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Artful Dodger View Post
Does anyone know of a rule-of-thumb for determining how to best size a trifecta bet based on pool size? Any books or articles discussing this subject? I would like to bet as much as a $50 trifecta (per combination) but I'm not sure how to best gauge whether $5, $10 or $20 would be more appropriate and under which circumstances (with respect to the pool size).


Has anybody already done the math?
$50 on a winning combination will not mess with the pool ceilings at the major tracks.
Races often have between $1,000 and $5,000 on winning combinations.

Small-circuit tracks could be an issue if your trifecta has a couple of the longest shots in big fields.

Look at the payout for a race, look at the trifecta pool for that race, take away about 25% for takeout, divide what is left after takeout by the $1 payout, and you should get an idea of how many $s were on the winning combination.

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Artful Dodger View Post
I'm betting a 3 horse box. I also pre-bet (I play every tb track in North America every day) so Kelly wouldn't work for me unless I could somehow use the morning line. Probably wouldn't be too accurate tho.
as far as like a Kelly type of thing, you probably want to simply use the minimums (50cents or $1) if you are betting a lot of races. If that works increase it by the min. increment.
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Last edited by Robert Fischer; 08-18-2018 at 08:35 PM.
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