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Old 07-05-2020, 01:29 PM   #79
Spalding No!
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Join Date: Nov 2009
Posts: 3,053
Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper View Post
MY MAIN POINT is that you also see a 3yo that was not progressing much figure-wise if you adjust the races for trip and a horse that couldn't overcome any adversity.

So while the biggest fans were focusing on trips and races he probably should have won, IMO they were missing the bigger picture that he wasn't progressing much since the Wood, was falling behind horses that were making progress, and wasn't as good as people once hoped.
Who are all these horses he was falling behind?

The only horse of significance to separate himself definitively from Tacitus is Code of Honor. Maximum Security was a few lengths better than him in the KY Derby and remained so in Saudi Arabia (whether he will remain so sans Jason Servis--especially at 10f--remains to be seen). Tax has not been able to validate his form reversal on Tacitus in the Jim Dandy and appears to have tailed off compeletly (goose eggs in 2020 and no recent works).

Note that these quasi-tough horses that supposedly ran him off his feet at Oaklawn all came back to be obliterated against Grade 1 rivals.

I'd say Tacitus has more upside going forward than any of them.
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