Quote:
Originally Posted by f2tornado
Speed figures are a useful tool but certainly are not the be all end all. Some stats from US Racing about five years ago:
HIGHEST LAST-RACE BRISNET SPEED FIGURE
Number: 52,003
Winners: 15,235
Win Rate: 29.3%
$2 Net Return: $1.71
ROI: -14.72%
Betting a singular morning line favorite produced a better win percentage but slightly more negative ROI. In all likelihood, the majority of these favorites also had the best last out or previous figure that topped the field:
Number: 58,704
Winners: 19.590
Win Rate: 33.3%
$2 Net Return: $1.64
ROI: -18.16%
Other factors are winning the other 66.7 to 70.7% of races.
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Can you provide another handicapping factor that produces 33% winners over a large large sample?
