Quote:
|
Originally Posted by Robert Fischer
Mathematically with WP, you are trading some ROI for a higher hit%. This kind of diversification is debatable, but there are some arguments for it, including ability to manage a smaller bankroll without as much risk of random ruin(assuming that OVERALL play w/ all wagertypes is in fact +), and for many it could help mentally as there would be less losing days and streaks.
With the negative Superfecta play, I can't really make a case other than entertainment, and per the hit% argument, WP would be more effective w/out -Superfectas.
|
The superfectas ROI could really change with a single photo finish reversal. The way I attack the race, I could crush the TRI and miss the Super, but conversely, I could miss the TRI and crush the super if the 3/4 spots were reversed. I could assume that over the course of a year that maybe 5-10 races could alter these results dramatically.
