Quote:
Originally Posted by v j stauffer
That was simply the byproduct of a morning line mistake. Avalanche should have been lined at 2-1. Then the early action wouldn't have seemed like huge steam.
Also, people tend to follow the hot hand of the day. Rosario was shooting for his 5th. Sadler his 3rd and they had just combined to win a $1 million race.
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I thought the ML should've split the difference around 4-1, and I can see smaller bettors following the hot hands but this horse was taking hundreds of thousands of $ more in action than expected & it wasn't just early steam, he was being pounded later in the betting too, was just bizarre action to me in all ways. I usually prefer to handicap after seeing morning lines, this is one of the cases I didn't do that & I landed on Alsatian who I thought would be in the 6-1 range, and was taken aback to see him at 20-1 on the ML. Considering he went off at 50-1 (and was 70-1 with a few mins to go) this was betting that seemed like bizarro world to me. The only thing not bizarro was my pick not getting up no matter what the odds!
