Quote:
Originally Posted by GMB@BP
in the case of the "who did he beat" camp there is a long line of great horses who have accomplished a hell of a lot more who suffer from the "who did he beat" disease. Its a tough one to cure.
But your point is valid, many of these horses who are going to take a lot of money have not beat anyone yet, and provides ample reason enough to bet against them if you are subscribing to the "who did he beat" form of handicapping.
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Yes all the horses have question marks but he has more than most of the others. He has raced against (2) five horse fields and (1) 7 horse field in races that were ran like they were scripted and he had to face no in race adversity against very sub par competition. That all changes in the derby and he is not just going to be one of several horses that are going to be taking money. He is going to be the heavy favorite and he has done absolutely nothing on the track to deserve to be the favorite. If you are going to be the heavy favorite than there should not be more question marks about you than multiple other top horses. I am sticking to the opinion he is nothing more than the beneficiary of a very good PR campaign by Baffert.
Watch the SA Derby post race commentary by three very well respected horse analysts ( Jerry Bailey, Laffit Pincay lll, Randy Moss ) unanimously they were underwhelmed by the performance of Justify and thought it was the least impressive race of his career and Jerry Bailey ( also a hall of fame jockey ) even wondered out loud if Baffert would even bother running Justify in the derby. Than the hype train took over and he’s not only running but also the heavy pre-race favorite.
Going to be a lot of tears and torn up tickets from people using Justify on top. I might also be tearing up tickets but it won’t be because I was some sheep that followed the Baffert/Media false narrative. At least if I lose it will be on my terms and because of my own handicapping.
I can’t believe anyone actually “handicapped” the race and landed on Justify because there is nothing on paper that suggests he should be the favorite. ( Que the grossly inflated speed numbers from the SA Derby from all the Justify brainwashed followers. ) The one and only reason that anybody is betting Justify is because Baffert and the media talked them into it.
Baffert the new P.T. Barnum 😀
This derby does prove one thing ... There is a sucker born every minute 😉
I bet if you did a poll ... 99% of Justify supporters consider CNN a reliable news source lol
