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I get 2850 or 28.50 for the Kentucky Derby. The class adjustments would be subjective. I see the Grade 2 as being 1 level below today's Grade 1 race. I see the other open stakes as being 2 levels below. I see the restricted stakes as being 3 levels below. And I see the SPLWT as being 3 levels below.
Field Size: 11+9+9+7+11+10=57
2nd Call: 1+2+2+2+1+1=9
Fin Call: 1+1+1+1+1+1=6
Class Adj: -1-2-2-2-3-3=-13
or
57 / 9 + 6 - 13 /2= 28.50 or 2850
That's about as high a PCR as I can remember seeing.
For the Preakness, it would look like this:
Field Size: 11+9+9+7+11+10+18=75
2nd Call: 1+2+2+2+1+1+2=11
Fin Call: 1+1+1+1+1+1+1=7
Class Adj: -1-2-2-2-3-3+0=-13
or
75 / 11 + 7 - 13 /5= 15.00 or 1500
Still incredibly high. Most strong early speed horses are somewhere around 200 or 2.00.
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