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secret agent man
Secret Agent Man: Nowhere in my posts above did I recommend that one should play the above 7 horses in the Ky Derby at this time. Amis Flatter, Dubai Sky, Far From Over, Frosted, Madefromlucky, Mubjaahij, or War Story.
Since 6 of the last 7 Derby winners fit the above criteria, one can conclude that this may be a positive tool. (its just one tool, not the absolute be-all end-all kind of factor.
Furthermore, I would really only be interested in the horses in that list of 7 that race a fast final fraction in a major 9 furlong prep race (SA Derby, Fla Derby, Bluegrass, Wood or Ark Derby or maybe even the La Derby.
If none of the seven ran a fast final fraction, I probably would eliminate them all in the win position of the Derby.
The above study has no reference at all to the second, third or fourth place runners. Just the winners of the last 16 or so Derbies.
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