Quote:
Originally Posted by GMB@BP
I am only interested in the contenders, I am much better than 31% picking a winner out of 4 or 5 horses.
|
I doubt that. Because my data agrees with the article's assertion that the top 5 Bris PP win approximately 87% of the races.
What it doesn't state is that the average payoff of those winners is $10.
So if you can pick the winner 31% from the top 5 PP horses (which you poo poo as a low ability) you would make a steady 50% ROI which is unheard of.
Because in 10 races, with a 31% hit rate, you would receive $30 on average and your investment would be $20.
You would basically be the best handicapper on the planet.