Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board


View Single Post
Old 04-29-2018, 07:53 PM   #20
Light
Veteran
 
Light's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Posts: 7,139
Quote:
Originally Posted by GMB@BP View Post
I am only interested in the contenders, I am much better than 31% picking a winner out of 4 or 5 horses.
I doubt that. Because my data agrees with the article's assertion that the top 5 Bris PP win approximately 87% of the races.

What it doesn't state is that the average payoff of those winners is $10.

So if you can pick the winner 31% from the top 5 PP horses (which you poo poo as a low ability) you would make a steady 50% ROI which is unheard of.

Because in 10 races, with a 31% hit rate, you would receive $30 on average and your investment would be $20.

You would basically be the best handicapper on the planet.
Light is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
 
» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 12:31 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.