03/10/18 Gotham Stakes, 8.0F, Aqueduct
Chart -
http://www.equibase.com/premium/char...8&cy=USA&rn=10
Timeform Figures
1/4-132 1/2-124 3/4-124 Final Fig-116
This was a one turn mile sprint, think its gonna fool some people.
Analysis – Enticed: This horse has always had talent, his win in the Jockey Club, a very productful race, showed that. I think he will be best from 7F to 8.5F. This one turn mile really suited his grinding style. The race started to collapse a bit in my mind and his talent was right there to capitalize, full disclosure I did bet this horse in this race. I think though he is a major underlay in his next two turn race, the Wood. I suspect Baffert ships in with McKinzie or Justify for that race and he is likely to get drowned. I dont view him a serious contender at this point. Good race though, talented colt.
Old Time Revival: Ran the best race. Not even close. Cut out real fractions to only tire late. I think he may be best suited around two turns as well when he can control the pace even more. I am not sure he is the quality to win the Derby but in the summer cash grab races this is a horse to play back in the right spots, no fluke runner up here.
Free Drop Billy: almost inexplicable. Was in the perfect spot and did not fire. One could view that as it happening two races in a row, he was right there with Audible in the last race and got dusted. Maybe this is too far? Not sure as he has talent. Has not run a Derby competitive race this year.
Firenze Fire: just going to say he probably is distance limited but he did have a bit of a trip in here having to steady off heals into the turn. Thats not going to be excuse enough to bet in say the Wood but if he gets the right spot next out I feel it was a legit excuse.
Race Replay
