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I’m talking about something more subtle.
Let’s say we have 3 horses. They all ran 22 - 45 - 110 last time out and that’s typical of their recent performances.
Numerically they all ran the same race and there has been no form change since the last race.
They face each other, except this time the fractions are 21 4/5 - 44 3/5.
How do they react?
My argument is that one might collapse, one might run the same 110 final time, and one might actually finish in 109 4/5.
If they ran 44 flat, they’d all probably collapse, but to much different degrees.
Initially, their fractions and final times were the same, but the horses are not. They have different levels of ability to run faster early without burning up a lot of excess energy and different amounts of reserve energy if asked for more. It’s tough to know those things before a horse is asked.
IMO, this is sort of what “class” is. It’s not just the ability to run fast. It’s the ability to run fast even if the demands of the race are really tough.
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Last edited by classhandicapper; 10-23-2022 at 10:31 AM.
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