Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board


View Single Post
Old 05-13-2022, 08:50 AM   #33
Robert Fischer
clean money
 
Robert Fischer's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
Rich Strike wasn't going to be 40-1 if he had run in the Preakness. He should have been.

It's fine if you disagree.

Opinions and some randomness/chaos are part of what makes the game magical.

Happy Jack will finish ahead of Simplification in the Preakness, but Simplification will be much lower odds.

Sonny Leon isn't as great a rider career, or now, as Javier Castellano, but it's fine if anyone feels that way with their head or heart.

On Rich Stike mount in this year's Derby? I don't think Javier Castellano would have won. Maybe I'm wrong.

I do think Javy would win or compete for the Ohio jockey titles right now, and be a deity on the Ohio circuits in his prime.

I have a hard time evaluating jockeys.

Within our favorite tracks, Intra-circuit is relatively easy for fans and players.
'ABC'? = 'pretty good' leaders of the colony
'XYZ'? = 'bad' I blame these guys when I lose, and sometimes it's accurate.

'LMNOP'?? = 'mid-tier' guys within a circuit??
That's not as easy. I am already very biased about most of these guys. A lot of that is short-sighted on my part. Even if I could get past that, how can I weigh the mounts/stock they get, or their specialized situational skills?

I'm not able to do a great job comparing intra-circuit jockeys, especially the mid-tier guys within the circuit.

Comparing jockeys outside of their own circuit is even more difficult.
I'm not sure that I'm even able to do a 'good' job of comparing inter-circuit jockeys, between different jockey colonies at different circuits.

tip the hat to Sonny Leon. He's this year's Derby Champ.
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.

Last edited by Robert Fischer; 05-13-2022 at 08:55 AM.
Robert Fischer is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
 
» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 01:48 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.