Quote:
Originally Posted by Light
That's not what the author said.
If you go towards the end of the book and look at his blinker section Meadows says:
"If a horse requires blinkers its generally a negative sign, since many horses race quite competently without them. Blinkers indicate problems. The trainer is grasping at a solution which may or may not work".
You say (above) blinkers are "often a major improvement" according to Massa and Meadows
But according to Massa's numbers from the book its a losing angle
B's on .70 ROI
B's off .82 ROI.
This is an example of common knowledge any horse player with around one year experience can deduce without stats.
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The kind of stats found in the book are interesting and can be useful. This particular stat about blinkers really doesn't mean anything. No one in their right mind thinks that you can bet every blinkers on or blinkers off horse and win. But the fact is that some horses improve dramatically when they add blinkers and win and pay huge prices. And I think it's significant that there have been stakes-winning horses that were doing nothing at the start of their careers and then completely turned it around in blinkers. And there have been many solid raceway horses that struggled and then became much better horses after blinkers went on.
Some things to look for are maidens who shy away from other horses, or seem to get intimidated racing inside, or pull themselves up after taking the lead.
