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Old 06-28-2010, 04:48 PM   #36
InTheRiver68
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Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 401
Quote:
Originally Posted by garyscpa
The reason it's more important for the bridgejumper is that it doubles his return.
No, it doesn't. Net pool pricing has no effect vs. standard pricing for the classic bridgejumper. (That is, for the guy putting $50k to show on a horse ... for the bet-againster, I've already shown that net pool pricing is a huge positive.)

The bridgejumper doesn't *care* whether the other horses are being bet on. He doesn't even care whether someone is following after him with another $50k or $250k on his horse. His only criterion for betting on the odds-on favorite is, is a 5% return (or 10% at certain tracks) worth the risk that this horse will run out of the money? No other factor matters.

Yes, once in an extraordinary blue moon, standard pricing will produce a $2.20 show price (at a $2.10 track), where net pool pricing wouldn't. But for that to happen, the size of the show wager the bridgejumper placed would have to be small compared to the total pool size ... and then that wouldn't be bridgejumping, would it?

- InTheRiver68
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