Quote:
Originally Posted by Exotic1
Are you saying 2 conditions need to be met before a race is given a "C" (or "S")?
Condition #1: Pre-race analysis predicts a Hot Pace
Condition #2: Actual and post-race analysis confirmed a Hot Pace.
And if only Condition#2 were present, regardless of actual pace intensity, the race wouldn't earn a "C"?
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That's correct.
The idea is to look for multiple pieces of evidence that a race favored a particular style more than in the average race (running styles and race development).
The Timeform pace figures can be used as a third independent piece.
When I do my analysis, I will typically look at both the pace figures and the race flow note. When they agree, I will usually have a high degree of confidence about what happened. When they disagree, I will look at the chart of the race, see which horses were in the race, and watch the replay to decide what happened.
