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Old 09-30-2021, 02:58 PM   #8
Robert Fischer
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Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
Quote:
Originally Posted by Poindexter View Post
The higher the betting denomination the less likely the casual player just happens to have a winning price horse. When you are talking 50 cent pick 3 and a 12-1 wins, a player that spreads a lot likely hits the horse even if he did not like it very much. You are not rewarded for keying in some fashion that 12-1. But at a $3 betting denomination a small bettor going 5x6x7 over 3 races is going to have to come up with $630 (vs $105 on a 50 cent pick 3). The typical player is not going to outlay that kind of money and will miss a lot of these price horses they are currently connecting on. Thus the reason many horse players say they cannot get scores anymore in this game. If I recall correctly, I think when the pick 3 was introduced, it was a $3 minimum. This is a nice little step in the right direction. Bottom line is you get more value out of your value horses as the $ minimum goes up. Smaller players tend to focus more on the obvious(top 3 favorites, obvious singles......) out of necessity(to keep their play within budget).

Very Sharp post.

It goes both ways, but it will add some 'value' to the pools.

Doesn't mean it will give us a bunch of free overlays, as big-money will be hedging appropriately.

However, we should get a fair price. It's also possible that we have a contrarian opinion that would pay out as an overlay.
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