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Thread: Hal's Hope
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Old 02-24-2018, 12:10 PM   #1
Tom
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Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
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Hal's Hope

GP today - not that I plan on betting it, but it is an interesting race to handicap.

Irish War Cry - cuts back after a gruelling TP campaign. One turn mile might be just what he needs, but is he ready off a layoff?

Economic Model - 3 of his 4 wins at least have been at one turn routes but again, a layoff. Jose jumps ship to ride the and Irad gets this one for Chad. Jose think he has a better shot leaving?

Conquest Big E - proved he can win from either end of the field and is sharp right now. can he keep moving ahead?

Tower of Texas - why first time dirt after two stakes wins and a showing on turf? Not for me = pass.

Quitjote - has had at least one long shot first time routing, but I won't have anything on his next one = pass.

Malagacy - 2nd off the layoff, good runs at OP last year, lightly raced, Todd/Castellano, probably needs at least one more going long before he makes a move - still needs to pass last year's top

Guiseppe the Great - I don't think this one is going anywhere up from his current level - no big moves in this one = pass

Send it In - His good presser and SP ratings suggest to me he will do better at a flat mile than longer - big shot n here today.

I had mentioned before I uses CJ's adjusted times in Sartin formulae with good results, a I was asked for an example, so I did this race since it was a free one today.

FW = Factor W
EP = 2nd call pace
PR = PResser rating - average tof Turn time and 2nnd call
F3 = third fraction
SP = sustained pace, average of 2nd call and third fraction
HE = hidden energy, average of turn time and third fraction
E% = ratio of EP and F3

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