Quote:
Originally Posted by letswastemoney
Mucho Gusto has the high TimeformUS number. He's the one to beat.
Gunmetal Gray's running style isn't good for this pace scenario. If Mucho Gusto fails, it feels like Nolo Contesto is the one since he will get first run.
Easy Shot has a small chance, but I believe the Sham was a weak race.
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I have similar thoughts concerning Nolo Contesto vs. Gunmetal Gray.
Will certainly* glance at the
exacta probables to see if
'all' the money comes in for Gunmetal Gray in the exacta under Mucho Gusto,... but it's going to be slim pickings in this short field of six, with only three viable contenders...
*actually change that "certainly" to; "if I'm not busy, or headed out of the house by that time"... Not enough value on paper for me to change my schedule. If I'm not headed out yet, I'll give it a glance...
Can Nolo win outright? Sure, but there's no real negative to Mucho, and it's a poor field(for betting) with little upside(again, for betting, not commentary on Mucho or Nolo). It may be a horse race, and Nolo could happen to win, but it's not any great overlay.
Disappointing because Gunmetal Gray was ripe for a bet-against. He's a very popular horse, and he comes off a great trip vs Coliseum. If I'm lucky Mucho and Nolo will duel and Gunmetal Gray will plod into a pace collapse win, so I can bet against him next time in a full field... but I doubt it.
