Quote:
Originally Posted by cj
Starts in the calendar year before the Derby:
2021 Medina Spirit 4
2020 XXXXXXX
2019 Country House 4 (Max Security 3)
2018 Justify 3
2017 Always Dreaming 3
2016 Nyquist 2
2015 American Pharoah 2
2014 California Chrome 3
2013 Orb 3
I don't think it is set in stone that 2 starts is ideal. The horses that won the Derby on the above list with just two starts had plenty of two year old foundation.
|
Go back further than 2013. From 2007-12, there were 6 straight winners winners of the KD having 2 starts in the calendar year of their "three" year old campaign, starting Jan. 1.
Throw in Nyquist and AP, you have 8 winners with two starts, since '07. Toss 2020 and you have a 57% strike rate, no?
