Quote:
Originally Posted by davew
The top 3 in the Withers basically have the same score.
If they ran again in same race, would they all have roughly equal chance of winning?
thx for the updates, and do you have a top 5 or top 10 list for the Derby as of now?
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Two of the top three from the Withers have run back and not done very well, so I'd say things have changed as often happens with 3yos. Others have run back from the race and run decent figures (basically matching what they ran in the Withers). Tax is going in the Wood Memorial. At this point I think I'm going to view him with some skepticism. I don't like the big gap between races and there is at least some doubt on how legitimate the figure is. It was a tough time to make figures at Aqueduct. Basically everyone has the race quite fast that I've seen, but that doesn't mean it is a great number.