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Originally Posted by Overlay
I've found that factoring in the presence of a top rider (not as a stand-alone indicator, but as one part of the overall picture) can potentially make the difference between a non-bettable underlaid wager and a bettable overlaid wager, often (as you note) at good odds or payoffs.
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The tough part of the handicapping puzzle with some of these horses is that they show little if no indicators they were about to run a good race at the odds. (examples include not dropping in class, no back class indicators, recent form dull, including workouts etc.). I am not saying that every selection is without merit from a positive handicapping stand point, however, it seems that some of the these selections show nothing except why is the top rider(s) taking this mount especially when it is not the regular outfit that he rides for.
