Quote:
Originally Posted by v j stauffer
The horse I ended up using in the 9th #  Varenka had absolutely zero to do with who I thought would win the race. With a lead of $25.90 I knew there would be ZERO chance he would use either the  or  . Even if one of them won he would still be in stabbing position going into the last. So that left three others. The  also seemed unlikely because even with a win my opponent would still be trailing going into the last. I CANNOT STRESS ENOUGH HOW IMPORTANT LATE LEADS ARE. Even 10 cents is a monster advantage. So that left me with three choices.   & My goal now is to try to figure out who he'll use. Any of the three could have put him on the lead. I decided on because it was the horse that would be the most  inducing for my chances. Got lucky and guessed right. So now we go to the 10th. I will have several horses on my team in this race. Because any horse that cannot pay a combined $25.90 is a winner for me. So now I will once again try to figure who will be my best blocking opportunity. If I guess right. Show's over. If I don't block he will have ONE chance. Whomever he picks which MUST be the requisite price. Chances are clearly in my favor. But BY NO MEANS am I home. I've lost many and won my share in these type situations. Wish me luck! Also, he MUST make sure he doesn't take the same horse as me. Which will send a player a bit further out on the fringes. But I know that too. As we get to post any horse that is "close" to the right price, a tweener, but MIGHT get bet under what he needs is pretty much out too. Final thought is he also has to factor in what If he hit the winner but I finish 2nd? That sends him further out on the fringes.You'll find yourself rooting the tote board. Hoping for as many horses as possible to be bet down inside the threshold. Pretty fun stuff! |
Here's another thing to consider when thinking about playing tournaments and specifically head to head matchups.
Remember I said I was going to take yesterdays winnings and play a BCBC qualifier today?
I decided to pass. I hated the 4 races at my non go to tracks Woodbine & Gulfstream. Plus I was not big fan of Saratoga 7 thru 10.
HOWEVER!!
Let's not lose sight that I'm a proud sicko and always need some action. So I signed up and played "one" $430 HorseTourneys head to head.
For the 8 races I accumulated a whopping $15.20. But! It was good enough to win.
Moral of the story is against the windows I would have crushed today. But in my head to head I only had one person to beat.
It worked out. I'M NOT GLOATING or seeking atta boy's.
Just sharing because I am a HUGE advocate of tournament play and would love to see more and more people get involved.
On to Del Mar!! Let's GO!
