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Old 12-03-2017, 11:25 PM   #35
thaskalos
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Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 28,570
Quote:
Originally Posted by pandy View Post
The amount of emphasis you put on "humans" can certainly have an effect on win percentage. For instance, if two horses look like the two main contenders in a race, both seem about equal talent and fitness, and one is trained by Pletcher and has Johnny V riding and the other is trained by a trainer who has a lifetime win percentage of 8% with an average jockey up, the Pletcher horse has a better chance of winning. But if the Pletcher horse is 6-5 and the other horse is 12-1, the 12-1 shot is still the better bet.
What if the Pletcher horse is 5-2 and the other horse is 4-1?
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