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Old 10-08-2018, 04:08 PM   #41
Suff
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Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Beach life in Fort Lauderdale
Posts: 11,938
Quote:
Originally Posted by cj View Post
Use the fractional times from KD at your own risk. They are hand timed and it is basically an impossible task. I don't make pace figures for that track as I think it would be highly inaccurate and misleading.

That said, I've done well the last few years betting horses coming out of Kentucky Downs races. Theory is it gives the horses a conditioning edge. Whether that is the reason or not, it is working and has continued to work this year. Laurel and Belmont had a few stakes winners out of KD races this weekend, and Keeneland had at least one good priced winner that I remember.
Hi Cj. I'm not trying to shine or shade on you at all. I hope you know that.

On talking horses yesterday the subject came up that the Belmont spring meet beyers were underweighted. Some players were adding to those selectively.

Then we had the The Great Saratoga Flood of 2018.

So my general point is that the entire 2018 is a high wire act when relying on numbers.

My very first take away from the very first race I saw at KD was "Uh-oh"...another edge to the sharks. I can't keep up.
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