Quote:
Originally Posted by cj
Re the bolded part, I think at the top levels of the game that has changed. Trainers are so picky now about the spots they pick for good horses that if something doesn't go right, it is usually a bad sign. The same can be said for when horses start missing races originally mapped out by the trainer. I count these kinds of things as much more negative than I did 10 or 15 years ago.
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I agree with all that (especially the 2nd point).
I like to look at it from the other direction too. If it's an elite trainer, I will trust him to know his horse well. If he brings it back on schedule after a bit of a subpar race, I'm more apt to give it consideration to run back to a top effort because he wouldn't run unless everything was OK. When there is a problem, the really good guys know it and stop. If it's some ordinary trainer, he may not even know if there's a problem.