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The average winning Beyer figure for the BC Classic since 1990 is 115.2. That includes 2 years when it was run on Synthetic (Zenyatta 112 and Raven's Run 110). Beyer figures for top class horses on synthetic used to run several points slower than on dirt. Beyer eventually made modifications to his synth figures to raise them, but not retroactively. If you add 2-3 points to the Classic synth figures or leave them out the average is more like 115.5.
It's seems unlikely anyone in this field is going to hit PAR, but with a few quality 3yos and Baffert involved, I guess that's possible.
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Last edited by classhandicapper; 11-02-2020 at 05:56 PM.
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