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Originally Posted by nobeyerspls
I use seven angles as screens to find live longshots. Then I handicap the strength of the field and other factors, workouts, trainer stats, distance, etc. Jockey, weight, and beyer speed figure are not involved in the process. After this it's go or no go.
For example, freshened fillies are one of my screens and I passed on a 75-1 winner at Calder yesterday because the other factors did not confirm a play. I did catch one at the same odds a few years ago because both the class of the race and workouts confirmed it. Despite missing an odd win here or there, the extra step has produced positive results.
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I'd be interested in hearing more about the "freshened fillies" filter. I think that when a f or m goes sour, they just don't seem to get back without a break and i noticed this from the owners side first but then picked up on it from the handicapping side as well. do you see any difference with respect to age ?
john
