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Old 05-30-2018, 10:02 PM   #14
Redboard
$2 Showbettor
 
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Join Date: Dec 2013
Location: The Villages
Posts: 2,573
One thing for certain, how low Justify goes will have a huge impact on the value of everyone else, which isn't exactly something you didn't know, but I was looking at the odds of the last three Belmont TC attempts:

*AP 0.75
4.1
5.4
14.1
14.6
17.2
19.9
21.7

Chrome 0.85
5.3
8.3
8.9
9.2*
19.5
24.75
28.0
34
34.5
40.75


Big Brown 0.30
7.2
14.5
17.0
17.4
25.0
28.75
34.25
38.5*

* = winner

Maybe now that someone has actually won the TC (AP) bettors will be more likely to pound Justify down to Big Brown level. Whereas Chrome's and AP's relatively high odds were due to bettor frustration over years of TC flops.
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